Measured social signals for trading bots on Robinhood Chain: X callers graded against the price after their calls, Telegram rooms counted beside them, fused into one signal with receipts. Under it, every deployer scored from complete on-chain history, the insider-flow checks and the token verdict — the calibration below.
Judging each deployer only by their earlier tokens, then measuring the next token's outcome. No circularity: a proven record predicts the next launch.
| Deployer's prior tokens all died | 1.1% | 311,873 tokens | |
| Prior record under 50% real | 5% | 127,793 tokens | |
| First-ever token (no history) | 33.7% | baseline · 196,990 tokens | |
| Proven record — 50%+ real | 70.7% | 69,947 tokens |
Real-activity rate of every token, grouped by its deployer's 0–100 reputation score. A deployer's score includes the outcome of every token it has launched, so this table describes the population; it is not a prediction. The test without that circularity is the table above.
| Deployer score 0-19 | 0.1% | 432,418 tokens · 88.2% dead | |
| Deployer score 20-39 | 32.1% | 168,487 tokens · 58.1% dead | |
| Deployer score 40-69 | 27% | 46,028 tokens · 54.7% dead | |
| Deployer score 70-100 | 99.3% | 59,349 tokens · 0.3% dead |
| GET /omega/signals | the Omega signal: X and Telegram converged, with receipts — $0.05 (included on Omega keys) |
| GET /signals/calls | fresh calls by measured early-callers — $0.02 |
| GET /verdict/:token | composite buy-risk verdict — $0.02 |
| GET /feed/new?min_score=70 | pollable feed of proven-deployer launches — $0.01 |
| GET /deployer/:address | reputation record — $0.01 |
| GET /stats · /proof.json | coverage & this calibration — free |
MCP server: npx robinx-mcp — call it from Claude Desktop / Cursor. Manifest: /.well-known/x402
Live figures, recomputed on load · 2026-10-22 12:20 UTC. Analytics only — not financial advice, not a solicitation to trade.